Market Meteor

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Choose a ticker from the ticker tape to display associated plots.

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Menacing Dinosaur-Shaped Chicken Nugget

Welcome to Market Meteor!

  • Market Meteor visualizes quantitative data for over 1500 stocks. These stocks have a long history of data and over 2 billion market cap.
  • Data is updated every night with the exception of live Watchlist, which updates on loading of this site. Users may also refresh the data by clicking Refresh or Refresh Holdings.
  • Our algorithm detects, Market Meteors (also referred to as signals), stocks that have fallen and may be primed for a short-term rebound.
  • A prediction can be made for when a Market Meteor will arrive, and is denoted as the Target Price in the watchlist. A stock must close at this target price in order to become a Market Meteor.
  • Market Meteors are evaluated over a span of 63 days.
  • Profitability may vary depending on your risk tolerance.
  • Market Meteor is for entertainment and informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice
Crispy T-RexMarket Meteor

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In-Play: Loading...

Minimum M20: Loading...

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Portfolio Simulations Top 10 and Bottom 10 Simulations

  • Last updated: 3/1/2024
  • Market Meteors with the following filter: Pwin >= 80, earnings [-63,14), average duration <=7, daily delta >= -0.05, 63 d% >= -0.35, <126 days below threshold
  • Starting Cash: 10000
  • Maximum Position Size: 2000
  • Cash Settlement: 3 days (loss in portfolio value until it clears)
  • Positons do not have to be unique
  • No fractional shares
Start Total Return Beta Alpha Standard Deviation Sharpe Ratio Information Ratio average_risk_free_rate GSPC CD Buy Count
date_number action ticker shares price max position size cash sell_date clear_date date nr

Return by Region 200 Bearish | 800 Bullish

U.S. Equity Sectors SPDR Sector ETFs

Sector ETF Last Close Updated

U.S. Equity Markets Major Indicies

Market Movers largest gainers and losers of the day

Ticker Overall Record Last Close Target Drop Needed prev 1d % 1d % 63d % Earnings Avrg Days Below Threshold Total Days Category Updated
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63d% vs. Earnings Offset Closest Overview

  • This is a scatter plot of the 63d% (63 day delta) versus Earnings Offset Closest.
  • Recall that earnings offset is defined as: the number of days from an earnings report. Negative values indicate days before earnings. Positive values indicate days after earnings.
  • and chances are defined as: In a window of 63 days, looking forward, the number of days or chances a position can be closed with a gain of at least 5%
  • green dots represent signals that had 6 or more chances
  • yellow dots represent signals that had 1-5 chances
  • red dots represent signals that had 0 chances
  • dots that are outlined only and are not filled in are "in-progress" of being observed in our 63 day window
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63d% vs. Date Analysis Overview

  • The purple series represents the percent change from the relative 63-day peak over time
  • the red line is at -20%, which is a key level for our algorithm's signals.
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Close vs. Date Analysis Overview

  • The purple series represents the Close price
  • When hovering, the data callout gives key information:
    • 1d %: last day's percent change
    • 63d %: percent change from the 63-day peak
    • Chances: In a window of 63 days, looking forward, the number of days or chances a position can be closed with a gain of at least 5%
    • Earnings Offset Closest: Number of days from an earnings report. Negative values indicate days before earnings. Positive values indicate days after earnings.
  • Green and red dots represent the performance of the M20 algorithm. Green dots, labeled 'M20 Pass', indicate instances where the algorithm correctly forecasted a price increase of at least 5% within 63 days. Red dots, labeled 'M20 Fail', denote occurrences where the algorithm's predictions did not meet this benchmark.
  • The markers labeled 'E' denote days on which earnings were reported.
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This top bar shows important summary information pertaining to the current stock

  • Overall Record: success rate of all completed signals (63 days of evaluation)
  • In-Play: success rate of in progress signals (previous 63 days)
  • Minmum M20: minimum percentage gain from a signal ("M20" stands for "-20")
  • Latest Earnings Offset: Number of days from an earnings report. Negative values indicate days before earnings. Positive values indicate days after earnings.
  • Last Update: Date and time when the data shown was most recently refreshed or updated
  • Sector: The specific segment or category of the economy to which a company or its business activities belong
  • Close vs. Date Close price per day

    63d% vs. Date Percent down from the 63 day peak

    63d% vs. Earnings Offset Closest Chances to exit with >=5%

    1 Minute Data INSERT TICKER HERE

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    Double click the title bar to maximize the plot.

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    Holdings

  • From the settings gear different portfolios can be displayed
  • Positions without a sell date are in focus
  • Positions with a sell date are dimmed in green if the Return to Date (RTD) was greater than the ^GSPC's RTD (index) over the same period, otherwise they are dimmed in grey.
  • Last price is red if negative and represents the percent change from the buy price to the last price
  • In the case of a stock split the buy prices are not adjusted and may have erroneous percent change
  • A drop down allows for selection of different portfolios
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    Incoming Meteors

  • Recall that Market Meteors (also referred to as signals), are stocks that have fallen and may be primed for a short-term rebound.
  • Rows that are purple are either candidates for becoming Meteors or are already Meteors
  • If 1d % and prev 1d % are negative, that means the last two days closed with a negative percent change, and it is already a Meteor.
  • Otherwise, if 63d % is <= -20% but only 1d % is negative, it must close down for the day to become a meteor.
  • Make sure to view the other graphs to determine if meteors are right for your risk tolerance
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    The Watchlist shows tickers in a tabular format

  • Clicking "Incoming Meteors" and "Holdings" will toggle between the two
  • Clicking "Refresh" will update the Incoming Meteors Watchlist
  • Clicking "Refresh Holdings" will update the Holdings Watchlist
  • Headers in purple indicate data that is updated
  • Clicking "Apply" will filter the Incoming Meteors
  • Clicking the settings gear will open the filter menu
  • A drop down allows for selection of different portfolios
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    Maximum Delta Forward 63 Days Overview

    • This is a histogram of the minimum and maximum deltas (percent change) looking forward in a 63 day observation window
    • These bars do not indicate if one event (min or max) occured before another
    • Purple bars represent successful algorithm signals
    • Red bars represent unsuccessful algorithm signals
    • Grey bars represent days that were not an algorithm signal

    Watchlist

    Ticker Overall Record Last Close Target Drop Needed prev 1d % 1d % 63d % Earnings Avrg Days Total Days Category Updated
    Ticker Buy Date Buy Price Last Target 1d % 63d % Sell Date Sell Price RTD RTD (GSPC) Earnings

    Meteor Event Log Past and Ongoing Meteors

    Displaying Incoming Meteors. Needs to close below target.

    Percentage of Successful Signals per day with Minimum Overall Record

    REPLACE

    Maximum Delta Forward 63 Days percent change 63 days following a signal